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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FinHealBreakTheBankRN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)60% (1061–705, n=1766)45% (542–652, n=1194)47% (13868–15346, n=29214)61% (395–248, n=643)
Consensus PnL$45K$10.6M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #970PM monthly #1PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)90% (149 of 165 open)88% (14 of 16 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicSoccer −5 pts, n=189———
Settled positions, side won52% of 1429 at avg 54¢, ROI −1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 5% of 506)10% (won 82% of 56)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 33% of 126)36% (won 98% of 198)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 56% of 163)35% (won 99% of 191)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up44% (won 92% of 634)19% (won 100% of 107)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.