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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpgoogleplaykjhgkltivtvriurRN1
Record (consensus markets)74% (423–151, n=574)40% (2–3, n=5)no settled market68% (302–139, n=441)
Consensus PnL$44K$391K—-$51K
Tracked asPM monthly #20PM monthly #15PM monthly #400PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus70% (42 of 60 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
not computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer −8 pts, n=40———
Settled positions, side won44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%—100% of 240 at avg 63¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢34% (won 10% of 30)0%—1% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 30–50¢19% (won 29% of 17)19% (won 70% of 10)—26% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢13% (won 55% of 11)76% (won 85% of 41)—40% (won 100% of 95)
Entries 70¢ and up34% (won 83% of 30)6% (won 100% of 3)—33% (won 100% of 80)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpgoogleplaykjhgkltivtvriurRN1
Hersonissos 3: Michael Geerts vs Juan Martin
same side · consensus Michael Geerts
Michael Geerts $6.5K——Michael Geerts $8.3K