Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpjoseph00677ndb1ubetteruuuu
Record (consensus markets)55% (13298–10666, n=23964)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1101–635, n=1736)49% (215–226, n=441)
Consensus PnL$1.4M$3.2M$4.6M$122K
Tracked asPM monthly #14PM monthly #7PM monthly #109PM monthly #195
Sides with the consensus70% (94 of 134 open)no open consensus position71% (67 of 95 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NFL +35 pts n=47, ROI +26%
  • Esports +9 pts n=115, ROI +8%
  • NBA +9 pts n=98, ROI +9%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15—NFL −8 pts, n=147Soccer −8 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%57% of 332 at avg 48¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 187)12% (won 13% of 39)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 56% of 135)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 57% of 328)40% (won 65% of 134)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)44% (won 94% of 622)7% (won 88% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpjoseph00677ndb1ubetteruuuu
Matsuyama: Billy Harris vs Liam Broady
opposite sides · consensus Billy Harris
Liam Broady $311——Billy Harris $8.0K