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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1prabamprimm
Record (consensus markets)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)65% (892–472, n=1364)74% (28–10, n=38)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.6M$19K$3.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #99PM monthly #991PM monthly #50
Sides with the consensus68% (154 of 228 open)78% (39 of 50 open)no open consensus position100% (7 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%83% of 35 at avg 77¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)3% (won 0% of 1)5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)6% (won 50% of 2)41% (won 99% of 405)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)17% (won 83% of 6)49% (won 99% of 485)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)74% (won 88% of 26)5% (won 100% of 46)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.