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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | ndb1 | verifly | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (7739–7030, n=14769) | 63% (1096–631, n=1727) | 34% (143–279, n=422) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.1M | $4.6M | -$339K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #15 | PM monthly #113 | was PM monthly #874 |
| Sides with the consensus | 73% (107 of 147 open) | 73% (74 of 101 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | Esports −2 pts, n=408 |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 35% of 413 at avg 36¢, ROI −4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 32% (won 21% of 131) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 55% (won 41% of 227) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 13% (won 43% of 54) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 0% (won 0% of 1) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | ndb1 | verifly |
|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming | Bilibili Gaming $273 | — | T1 $42K |