Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1primmverifly
Record (consensus markets)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)34% (143–279, n=422)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.6M$3.6M-$339K
Tracked asPM monthly #16PM monthly #108PM monthly #46was PM monthly #874
Sides with the consensus73% (100 of 137 open)73% (73 of 100 open)60% (3 of 5 open)33% (1 of 3 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—Esports −2 pts, n=408
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%35% of 413 at avg 36¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)5% (won 94% of 51)32% (won 21% of 131)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)41% (won 99% of 421)55% (won 41% of 227)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)49% (won 99% of 508)13% (won 43% of 54)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)5% (won 100% of 47)0% (won 0% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1primmverifly
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $273——T1 $42K