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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmsainttroplayVale54holi
Record (consensus markets)53% (5928–5310, n=11238)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)no settled market44% (265–331, n=596)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.6M—$34K
Tracked asPM monthly #17PM monthly #51—PM monthly #115
Sides with the consensus64% (148 of 231 open)67% (2 of 3 open)no open consensus position61% (25 of 41 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——Mentions −1 pts, n=40
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%—35% of 264 at avg 36¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)—61% (won 1% of 161)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)—3% (won 14% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)—4% (won 73% of 11)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)—32% (won 96% of 85)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmsainttroplayVale54holi
Ball State vs. UMass
opposite sides · consensus UMass
UMass $444Ball State $18——