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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GaditimaBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Record (consensus markets)46% (3570–4153, n=7723)45% (542–652, n=1194)71% (10–4, n=14)50% (1028–1027, n=2055)
Consensus PnL-$384K$11.0M$4.4M$3.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #498PM monthly #1was PM monthly #11PM monthly #181
Sides with the consensus67% (31 of 46 open)87% (143 of 164 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEsports −2 pts, n=1335———
Settled positions, side won46% of 6510 at avg 46¢, ROI −1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢35% (won 7% of 2259)10% (won 82% of 56)0%5% (won 94% of 49)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 36% of 1122)36% (won 98% of 198)50% (won 100% of 5)42% (won 99% of 382)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 62% of 1380)35% (won 99% of 191)50% (won 100% of 5)49% (won 99% of 446)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 89% of 1749)19% (won 100% of 107)0%5% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketGaditimaBreakTheBanksainttroplayprimm
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.6KYes $6.8K——
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
No $238No $114K——
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $615Yes $83K——
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.8KYes $7——