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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gaditima | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (3570–4153, n=7723) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 53% (10–9, n=19) |
| Consensus PnL | -$384K | $5.8M | $11.0M | $5.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #498 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (30 of 45 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Esports −2 pts, n=1335 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 6510 at avg 46¢, ROI −1% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 35% (won 7% of 2259) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 12% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 17% (won 36% of 1122) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 6% (won 0% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 21% (won 62% of 1380) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 65% (won 73% of 11) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 27% (won 89% of 1749) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Gaditima | beachboy4 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.6K | — | Yes $6.8K | — |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $238 | — | No $114K | — |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $615 | — | Yes $83K | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $1.8K | — | Yes $7 | — |