Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GaoJin-GamblingGodjoseph00677ndb1weflyhigh
Record (consensus markets)50% (535–544, n=1079)43% (10–13, n=23)63% (1101–635, n=1736)52% (414–381, n=795)
Consensus PnL-$15K$3.2M$4.6M$2.9M
Tracked asPM monthly #766PM monthly #7PM monthly #109Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position70% (68 of 97 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Soccer +19 pts n=32, ROI +31%
  • NHL +3 pts n=601, ROI +3%
  • NBA +11 pts n=45, ROI +13%
Weakest topic——NFL −7 pts, n=158Entertainment −21 pts, n=12
Settled positions, side won75% of 704 at avg 50¢, ROI +19%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%55% of 745 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 40% of 48)12% (won 0% of 2)13% (won 14% of 196)3% (won 27% of 26)
Entries 30–50¢44% (won 71% of 313)6% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 40% of 283)41% (won 50% of 302)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 81% of 297)65% (won 73% of 11)23% (won 58% of 348)51% (won 58% of 380)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 91% of 46)18% (won 67% of 3)46% (won 94% of 710)5% (won 89% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.