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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GenaTheBondKilIersainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)42% (282–386, n=668)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)
Consensus PnL$34K$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus76% (19 of 25 open)no open consensus position63% (29 of 46 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicGeopolitics −1 pts, n=155——
Settled positions, side won37% of 773 at avg 33¢, ROI +1%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢61% (won 7% of 471)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 38% of 53)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 80% of 66)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 97% of 183)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.