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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| GetsOnBase | ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (3–0, n=3) | 63% (1095–632, n=1727) | 48% (17933–19364, n=37297) | 75% (2542–853, n=3395) |
| Consensus PnL | $80K | $4.6M | $14.8M | $3.7M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #179 | PM monthly #111 | PM monthly #28 + pinned | PM monthly #73 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (2 of 2 open) | 72% (73 of 101 open) | 54% (59 of 110 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — | Crypto −1 pts, n=46 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2 at avg 47¢, ROI +60% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 10% (won 57% of 2594) | 6% (won 14% of 145) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 22% (won 94% of 5704) | 16% (won 48% of 367) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 50% (won 100% of 1) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 35% (won 99% of 9204) | 23% (won 60% of 509) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 33% (won 100% of 8622) | 55% (won 96% of 1235) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | GetsOnBase | ndb1 | RN1 | S-Works |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: CF Universidad de Chile (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus CF Universidad de Chile | CF Universidad de Chile $18K | — | CD Cobresal $3.5K | — |