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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GluckykluckyBreakTheBanksainttroplaybeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)81% (291–68, n=359)45% (542–652, n=1194)71% (10–4, n=14)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$19K$10.6M$4.4M$5.8M
Tracked asHand-pickedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #11was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus100% (6 of 6 open)90% (147 of 164 open)no open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEntertainment −7 pts, n=14——NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won82% of 463 at avg 80¢, ROI +2%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 6% of 34)10% (won 82% of 56)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢5% (won 45% of 22)36% (won 98% of 198)50% (won 100% of 5)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢9% (won 50% of 40)35% (won 99% of 191)50% (won 100% of 5)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up79% (won 95% of 367)19% (won 100% of 107)0%14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.