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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
GreedoBreakTheBankCORGII0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188
Record (consensus markets)47% (197–223, n=420)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (395–248, n=643)46% (131–154, n=285)
Consensus PnL$36K$11.0M$194K-$6.6M
Tracked asPM monthly #225PM monthly #1PM monthly #68was PM monthly #715
Sides with the consensus100% (3 of 3 open)86% (134 of 156 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NHL +7 pts n=17, ROI −2%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
  • NHL +4 pts n=196, ROI +5%
Weakest topicCollege Football −9 pts, n=50——College Basketball −12 pts, n=174
Settled positions, side won44% of 349 at avg 45¢, ROI −1%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 14% of 56)10% (won 82% of 56)9% (won 92% of 36)0% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢37% (won 40% of 128)36% (won 98% of 198)56% (won 99% of 223)42% (won 46% of 565)
Entries 50–70¢45% (won 55% of 156)35% (won 99% of 191)33% (won 100% of 133)57% (won 51% of 766)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 78% of 9)19% (won 100% of 107)2% (won 100% of 7)0% (won 100% of 4)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.