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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Gucky-45 | beachboy4 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 33% (745–1518, n=2263) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $166K | $5.8M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #346 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (40 of 60 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 68% (49 of 72 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | NFL −4 pts, n=52 | NBA −6 pts, n=93 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 3% of 1918 at avg 3¢, ROI 0% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 98% (won 2% of 1883) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 29% of 21) | 30% (won 57% of 63) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 70% of 10) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 75% of 4) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Gucky-45 | beachboy4 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House same side · consensus Yes | Yes $425 | — | Yes $667K |