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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HD45 | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 88% (14–2, n=16) | 62% (395–247, n=642) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.1K | $4.5M | $3.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #829 | PM monthly #68 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (2 of 6 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 89% (141 of 159 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 82% of 11 at avg 64¢, ROI −5% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 27% (won 67% of 3) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 0% | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 100% of 1) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 0% | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 0% of 1) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 100% of 6) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 0% | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HD45 | CORGII | 00gringo00 | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.2K | — | — | No $292K |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus Yes | No $3.3K | — | — | No $114K |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? same side · consensus No | Yes $6.0K | — | — | Yes $83K |