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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HRTrading | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 55% (2951–2450, n=5401) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $11K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #990 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 51% (77 of 152 open) | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 378 at avg 66¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 28) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 77) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 26% (won 99% of 97) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 47% (won 100% of 176) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HRTrading | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Celtics (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $115 | Magic $76K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Magic | Celtics $3 | Magic $13K | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Magic | Magic $2 | Magic $51K | — | — |