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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Hauchn | RN1 | sainttroplay | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 23% (24–79, n=103) | 48% (12896–14023, n=26919) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 50% (985–968, n=1953) |
| Consensus PnL | $230K | $13.4M | $4.4M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #227 + pinned | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 63% (17 of 27 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Finance −1 pts, n=117 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 11% of 118 at avg 12¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 87% (won 2% of 103) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 43% of 7) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 7) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Hauchn | RN1 | sainttroplay | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 40.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $678 | — | Over $527 |