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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (3488–2983, n=6471) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 50% (969–959, n=1928) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $3.5M | $5.8M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #24 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 79% (26 of 33 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 33% (1 of 3 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2722 at avg 58¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 95% of 37) | 0% | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 819) | 0% | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 100% of 1319) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 547) | 0% | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | 00gringo00 | beachboy4 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Commanders: O/U 42.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $6.6K | — | — | Over $91 |
| Spread: Steelers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Browns $212 | — | — | Steelers $963 |