← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HomeRunHazard | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 54% (3475–2964, n=6439) | 68% (43–20, n=63) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (945–947, n=1892) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.0M | $5.8M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | was PM monthly #24 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (23 of 31 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 45% (5 of 11 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | NBA −6 pts, n=92 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 2722 at avg 58¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 95% of 37) | 3% (won 17% of 6) | 0% | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 30% (won 100% of 819) | 29% (won 56% of 62) | 0% | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 100% of 1319) | 54% (won 51% of 115) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 547) | 14% (won 86% of 29) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HomeRunHazard | beachboy4 | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Browns | Browns $212 | — | — | Steelers $963 |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Patriots | Dolphins $10 | — | — | Patriots $75 |