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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Hongweiqian | joseph00677 | BreakTheBank | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (295–299, n=594) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | -$75K | $5.6M | $11.0M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #839 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | no open consensus position | 91% (150 of 165 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 74% of 428 at avg 54¢, ROI +26% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 4% (won 26% of 19) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 32% (won 71% of 139) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 53% (won 77% of 226) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 10% (won 84% of 44) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.