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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| HoshinoAI | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 0% (0–5, n=5) | 43% (10–13, n=23) | 64% (1102–633, n=1735) | 47% (1405–1574, n=2979) |
| Consensus PnL | -$1.8K | $3.2M | $4.6M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #382 | PM monthly #7 | PM monthly #109 | PM monthly #41 |
| Sides with the consensus | 43% (47 of 109 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (72 of 98 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −8 pts, n=147 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 14% of 187) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 269) | 41% (won 99% of 421) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 57% of 328) | 49% (won 99% of 508) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 622) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | HoshinoAI | joseph00677 | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2028 elections? same side · consensus No | Yes $16 | — | Yes $50 | — |