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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Kangta7373RN1BreakTheBank0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)57% (1103–837, n=1940)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)45% (542–652, n=1194)61% (495–321, n=816)
Consensus PnL-$130K$14.8M$11.0M-$352K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #863PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)57% (27 of 47 open)91% (150 of 165 open)69% (9 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicCollege Basketball −4 pts, n=61——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won68% of 2149 at avg 58¢, ROI +8%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 27% of 82)10% (won 57% of 2537)10% (won 82% of 56)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 53% of 517)22% (won 94% of 5518)36% (won 98% of 198)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢50% (won 70% of 1077)36% (won 99% of 8928)35% (won 99% of 191)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up22% (won 84% of 473)32% (won 100% of 7821)19% (won 100% of 107)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.