← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Kathod-Shi-14 | sainttroplay | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (14725–10493, n=25218) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) | 61% (495–320, n=815) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.2K | $4.4M | $13.4M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #995 | was PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (3 of 3 open) | no open consensus position | 83% (5 of 6 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3642 at avg 70¢, ROI +29% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 115) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 12% (won 100% of 454) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 23% (won 100% of 826) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 62% (won 100% of 2247) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Kathod-Shi-14 | sainttroplay | RN1 | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz opposite sides · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | — | — | Lorenzo Musetti $48K | Hubert Hurkacz $1.2K |