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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| KiruaTrading | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | pleaseplease123 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (254–174, n=428) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 71% (10–4, n=14) | 49% (345–353, n=698) |
| Consensus PnL | $21K | $10.6M | $4.4M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #985 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 | was PM monthly #92 |
| Sides with the consensus | 44% (4 of 9 open) | 89% (146 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Geopolitics −5 pts, n=37 | — | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 |
| Settled positions, side won | 55% of 315 at avg 48¢, ROI +3% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 39% (won 18% of 124) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 0% (won 0% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 14% (won 45% of 44) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 38% (won 43% of 266) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 14% (won 76% of 45) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 50% (won 100% of 5) | 61% (won 54% of 426) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 32% (won 95% of 102) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | KiruaTrading | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | pleaseplease123 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $3.8K | No $202K | — | — |