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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
KrasssainttroplayBreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)76% (390–122, n=512)71% (10–4, n=14)45% (526–640, n=1166)
Consensus PnL$14K$4.4M$10.6M
Tracked asHand-pickedwas PM monthly #11PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus98% (43 of 44 open)no open consensus position72% (74 of 103 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +50 pts n=123, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=277, ROI +38%
Weakest topicMentions −5 pts, n=80——
Settled positions, side won80% of 641 at avg 76¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢8% (won 13% of 54)0%10% (won 85% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢7% (won 45% of 44)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 98% of 192)
Entries 50–70¢14% (won 65% of 91)50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 99% of 187)
Entries 70¢ and up71% (won 94% of 452)0%20% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.