Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Lolakisjoseph00677surfandturfCORGII
Record (consensus markets)69% (569–259, n=828)50% (10–10, n=20)52% (273–252, n=525)62% (395–247, n=642)
Consensus PnL$95K$5.3M$4.1M$4.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #868PM monthly #2was PM monthly #326PM monthly #68
Sides with the consensus57% (28 of 49 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • MMA +4 pts n=148, ROI +10%
  • NBA +4 pts n=76, ROI +12%
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=21—NFL −11 pts, n=58—
Settled positions, side won54% of 870 at avg 51¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢37% (won 6% of 323)12% (won 0% of 2)20% (won 12% of 109)9% (won 92% of 36)
Entries 30–50¢12% (won 40% of 102)6% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 46% of 114)56% (won 99% of 223)
Entries 50–70¢12% (won 71% of 105)65% (won 73% of 11)33% (won 60% of 176)33% (won 100% of 133)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 98% of 340)18% (won 67% of 3)26% (won 82% of 137)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.