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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LongAndWindingRoad | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | surfandturf | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 77% (36–11, n=47) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 52% (273–252, n=525) |
| Consensus PnL | $4.2K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | was PM monthly #326 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 89% (146 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | ||
| Weakest topic | Elections −5 pts, n=30 | — | — | NFL −11 pts, n=58 |
| Settled positions, side won | 75% of 114 at avg 76¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 8% of 13) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 20% (won 12% of 109) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 43% of 7) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 21% (won 46% of 114) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 60% of 10) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 33% (won 60% of 176) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 74% (won 90% of 84) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 26% (won 82% of 137) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LongAndWindingRoad | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | surfandturf |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.0K | No $202K | — | — |