Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
LornaPredicts0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816beachboy4BreakTheBank
Record (consensus markets)12% (1067–7588, n=8655)61% (495–321, n=816)68% (43–20, n=63)45% (542–652, n=1194)
Consensus PnL$8.4K-$352K$5.8M$11.0M
Tracked asPM monthly #776was PM monthly #51was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1
Sides with the consensus44% (37 of 84 open)69% (9 of 13 open)100% (1 of 1 open)91% (150 of 165 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +3 pts n=83, ROI 0%
  • MMA +4 pts n=13, ROI −1%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=134, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=279, ROI +38%
Weakest topicEconomy −4 pts, n=144Soccer ±0 pts, n=115NBA −6 pts, n=93—
Settled positions, side won5% of 4406 at avg 6¢, ROI −1%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%
Entries under 30¢95% (won 2% of 4189)15% (won 29% of 125)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 82% of 56)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 28% of 65)34% (won 58% of 283)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 198)
Entries 50–70¢1% (won 50% of 42)43% (won 69% of 354)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 191)
Entries 70¢ and up2% (won 79% of 110)7% (won 80% of 60)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketLornaPredicts0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816beachboy4BreakTheBank
Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $3——Yes $7.9K
Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4——Yes $1.3K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $1——Yes $200