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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LornaPredicts | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | beachboy4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 12% (1067–7588, n=8655) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 68% (43–20, n=63) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4K | $11.0M | $5.6M | $5.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #776 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 | was PM monthly #24 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (58 of 111 open) | 87% (143 of 164 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | Economy −4 pts, n=144 | — | — | NBA −6 pts, n=93 |
| Settled positions, side won | 5% of 4406 at avg 6¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 95% (won 2% of 4189) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 3% (won 17% of 6) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 28% of 65) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 30% (won 57% of 63) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 50% of 42) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 54% (won 51% of 115) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 79% of 110) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 14% (won 86% of 29) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LornaPredicts | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | beachboy4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Republicans win Kansas and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $3 | Yes $7.9K | — | — |
| Will Manchester United win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $4 | Yes $1.3K | — | — |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $1 | Yes $200 | — | — |