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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| LornaPredicts | joseph00677 | RN1 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 12% (1067–7588, n=8655) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 65% (862–456, n=1318) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.4K | $5.6M | $14.8M | $4.1M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #776 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #69 |
| Sides with the consensus | 52% (58 of 111 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (25 of 45 open) | 68% (48 of 71 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Economy −4 pts, n=144 | — | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 |
| Settled positions, side won | 5% of 4406 at avg 6¢, ROI −1% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 64% of 1258 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 95% (won 2% of 4189) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 13% (won 16% of 160) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 1% (won 28% of 65) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 20% (won 39% of 252) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 1% (won 50% of 42) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 24% (won 57% of 306) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 2% (won 79% of 110) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 43% (won 93% of 540) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | LornaPredicts | joseph00677 | RN1 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Oregon Ducks win the 2027 CFP National Championship? same side · consensus No | Yes $4 | — | — | Yes $16 |