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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Lucerys | RN1 | 0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188 | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 81% (6833–1606, n=8439) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) | 46% (131–154, n=285) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) |
| Consensus PnL | $285K | $14.8M | -$6.6M | $11.0M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | was PM monthly #715 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 90% (170 of 188 open) | 56% (27 of 48 open) | no open consensus position | 87% (143 of 165 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Elections −2 pts, n=533 | — | College Basketball −12 pts, n=174 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 46% of 3951 at avg 45¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 49% of 1341 at avg 50¢, ROI −2% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 48% (won 4% of 1882) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 0% (won 17% of 6) | 10% (won 82% of 56) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 48% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 42% (won 46% of 565) | 36% (won 98% of 198) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 9% (won 69% of 366) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 57% (won 51% of 766) | 35% (won 99% of 191) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 37% (won 94% of 1447) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 0% (won 100% of 4) | 19% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.