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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MEPPsainttroplaybeachboy4
Record (consensus markets)65% (361–191, n=552)71% (10–4, n=14)68% (43–20, n=63)
Consensus PnL$562K$4.4M$5.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #995 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11was PM monthly #24
Sides with the consensus82% (67 of 82 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topicEntertainment −18 pts, n=11—NBA −6 pts, n=92
Settled positions, side won66% of 778 at avg 62¢, ROI +4%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%57% of 212 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 14% of 153)0%3% (won 17% of 6)
Entries 30–50¢11% (won 34% of 82)50% (won 100% of 5)29% (won 56% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 66% of 145)50% (won 100% of 5)54% (won 51% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up51% (won 93% of 398)0%14% (won 86% of 29)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.