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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MKSafeprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)61% (11–7, n=18)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$3.9K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #258PM monthly #50PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus29% (5 of 17 open)no open consensus position66% (137 of 209 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won35% of 20 at avg 34¢, ROI +12%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢50% (won 10% of 10)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 75% of 4)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 33% of 3)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.