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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MKSafeprimmRN1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4473–3351, n=7824)61% (11–7, n=18)50% (1078–1087, n=2165)47% (13362–14874, n=28236)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$3.9K$3.5M$14.8M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #257PM monthly #50PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus57% (8 of 14 open)28% (5 of 18 open)no open consensus position64% (107 of 166 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134———
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%35% of 20 at avg 34¢, ROI +12%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)50% (won 10% of 10)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)20% (won 75% of 4)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)15% (won 33% of 3)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)15% (won 67% of 3)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465MKSafeprimmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Tomas Etcheverry vs Alex de Minaur
same side · consensus Tomas Etcheverry
Tomas Etcheverry $13K——Tomas Etcheverry $56K
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Molcan vs Taylor Fritz
same side · consensus Taylor Fritz
Alex Molcan $11K——Alex Molcan $1.1K
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $185——Over $82