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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| MadridTime | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (1240–1460, n=2700) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1127–1147, n=2274) |
| Consensus PnL | -$4.3K | $4.8M | $3.6M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #578 | PM monthly #95 | PM monthly #50 |
| Sides with the consensus | 48% (41 of 85 open) | 71% (55 of 78 open) | 56% (10 of 18 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 734 at avg 71¢, ROI +30% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 100% of 51) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 20% (won 100% of 144) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 15% (won 100% of 112) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 58% (won 100% of 427) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | MadridTime | ndb1 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Arizona (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus TCU | Arizona $3 | — | TCU $7.6K |
| Spread: Arizona (-5.5) same side · consensus Arizona | TCU $44 | — | TCU $1.0K |
| Spread: Arizona (-3.5) same side · consensus Arizona | TCU $13 | — | TCU $738 |