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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
MadridTimendb1primmRN1
Record (consensus markets)49% (951–992, n=1943)63% (990–573, n=1563)50% (1106–1118, n=2224)48% (14128–15613, n=29741)
Consensus PnL$12K$3.2M$3.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #598PM monthly #106PM monthly #46PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus52% (74 of 141 open)73% (81 of 111 open)no open consensus position62% (29 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +48 pts n=71, ROI +49%
  • Soccer +23 pts n=369, ROI +27%
  • Tennis +21 pts n=32, ROI +21%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won100% of 501 at avg 72¢, ROI +30%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢5% (won 100% of 26)13% (won 15% of 168)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢17% (won 100% of 85)20% (won 39% of 256)41% (won 99% of 405)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢19% (won 100% of 94)24% (won 58% of 314)49% (won 99% of 485)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up59% (won 100% of 296)43% (won 93% of 550)5% (won 100% of 46)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketMadridTimendb1primmRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Luca Van Assche
opposite sides · consensus Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche $24K——Lorenzo Musetti $35K
Will AC Milan win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $586——Yes $5.4K
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Ryan Nijboer
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Ryan Nijboer $114——Juan Bautista Torres $3.3K
Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $25——Over $3.0K
Rolex Paris Masters: Nuno Borges vs Ignacio Buse
same side · consensus Nuno Borges
Nuno Borges $17K——Nuno Borges $8.8K
Will RSC Anderlecht win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $4.2K——No $5.0K
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $3.9K——Over $1.9K
Will NEC win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $174——No $4.3K
Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
same side · consensus Dalibor Svrcina
Dalibor Svrcina $649——Dalibor Svrcina $2.0K
Will SC Braga win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
No $122——No $2.4K
Will KAA Gent win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $12——No $2.0K
Cali: Carole Monnet vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
same side · consensus Carole Monnet
Carole Monnet $3——Carole Monnet $1.2K
Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua
same side · consensus Renata Zarazua
Renata Zarazua $45——Renata Zarazua $765
K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6——Over $686
W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen
same side · consensus Greet Minnen
Lisa Pigato $2——Lisa Pigato $76