← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (278–327, n=605) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) | 50% (1116–1127, n=2243) | 48% (14146–15606, n=29752) |
| Consensus PnL | -$495K | $4.8M | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #45 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #52 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 59% (13 of 22 open) | 71% (52 of 73 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 51% (38 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
|
|
|
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 250 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 1020 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 186) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 100% of 120) | 19% (won 39% of 267) | 41% (won 99% of 418) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 115) | 23% (won 58% of 326) | 49% (won 99% of 504) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 100% of 13) | 44% (won 94% of 619) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $422 | — | — | Over $238 |
| Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-11-06? same side · consensus No | No $52 | — | — | No $20K |
| Spread: Nebraska (-4.5) same side · consensus Illinois | Nebraska $12K | — | Nebraska $2.0K | — |
| Spread: 76ers (-2.5) same side · consensus Cavaliers | Cavaliers $613 | — | — | Cavaliers $107 |