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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NS13 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (368–445, n=813) | 47% (13870–15347, n=29217) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 61% (495–321, n=816) |
| Consensus PnL | $368K | $14.8M | $11.0M | -$352K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #105 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #51 |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (9 of 12 open) | 57% (12 of 21 open) | 86% (134 of 156 open) | 75% (6 of 8 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −3 pts, n=191 | — | — | Soccer ±0 pts, n=115 |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 804 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 10% of 251) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 15% (won 29% of 125) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 40% of 220) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 34% (won 58% of 283) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 68% of 244) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 43% (won 69% of 354) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 87% of 89) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 7% (won 80% of 60) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NS13 | RN1 | BreakTheBank | 0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wizards vs. Magic same side · consensus Magic | Magic $30K | — | — | Magic $19K |