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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| NS13 | surfandturf | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (368–444, n=812) | 52% (273–252, n=525) | 47% (13860–15343, n=29203) |
| Consensus PnL | $427K | $4.1M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #105 | was PM monthly #326 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (6 of 7 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | Tennis −3 pts, n=191 | NFL −11 pts, n=58 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 44% of 804 at avg 43¢, ROI −2% | 53% of 536 at avg 53¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 31% (won 10% of 251) | 20% (won 12% of 109) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 27% (won 40% of 220) | 21% (won 46% of 114) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 30% (won 68% of 244) | 33% (won 60% of 176) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 11% (won 87% of 89) | 26% (won 82% of 137) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NS13 | surfandturf | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rolex Paris Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou Bergs opposite sides · consensus Ignacio Buse | Zizou Bergs $119 | — | Ignacio Buse $42K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Musetti vs Hubert Hurkacz same side · consensus Lorenzo Musetti | Lorenzo Musetti $199K | — | Lorenzo Musetti $46K |