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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NatoAlfista | 00gringo00 | CORGII | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (4154–4221, n=8375) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 62% (395–247, n=642) | 47% (13860–15341, n=29201) |
| Consensus PnL | $23K | $3.5M | $4.5M | $13.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #994 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 0% (0 of 8 open) | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 2443 at avg 46¢, ROI +43% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 81% of 261) | 0% | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 48% (won 95% of 1164) | 0% | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 41% (won 97% of 1006) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 0% (won 83% of 12) | 0% | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NatoAlfista | 00gringo00 | CORGII | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taipei: Joel Schwaerzler vs Jan Kumstat opposite sides · consensus Jan Kumstat | Joel Schwaerzler $115 | — | — | Jan Kumstat $9.7K |