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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Next-Licensing | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 99% (2365–19, n=2384) | 48% (12851–13947, n=26798) | 45% (535–643, n=1178) | 50% (945–947, n=1892) |
| Consensus PnL | $13K | $13.4M | $10.6M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #662 | PM monthly #24 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 71% (82 of 116 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 1780 at avg 99¢, ROI 0% | 94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 20% of 5) | 10% (won 56% of 2534) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 5% (won 93% of 43) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% (won 100% of 3) | 22% (won 94% of 5497) | 36% (won 98% of 192) | 41% (won 99% of 366) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 36% (won 99% of 8897) | 35% (won 99% of 187) | 49% (won 99% of 433) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 99% (won 100% of 1771) | 31% (won 100% of 7736) | 20% (won 100% of 107) | 5% (won 100% of 41) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Next-Licensing | RN1 | BreakTheBank | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Steelers (-5.5) same side · consensus Browns | — | Steelers $14 | — | Steelers $963 |