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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NiceDuckBro | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 65% (172–91, n=263) | 45% (537–652, n=1189) | 75% (6–2, n=8) |
| Consensus PnL | -$11K | $10.6M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 |
| Sides with the consensus | 67% (6 of 9 open) | 85% (50 of 59 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | Mentions −7 pts, n=19 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 342 at avg 66¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 2% of 43) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 33% of 45) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 69% of 67) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 89% of 187) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NiceDuckBro | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $72 | No $26K | — |