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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NiceDuckBro | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 66% (175–91, n=266) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 75% (6–2, n=8) | 50% (1028–1027, n=2055) |
| Consensus PnL | -$11K | $10.6M | $3.5M | $3.4M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #19 | PM monthly #181 |
| Sides with the consensus | 63% (5 of 8 open) | 88% (133 of 151 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | Mentions −7 pts, n=19 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 67% of 342 at avg 66¢, ROI −1% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25% | 99% of 919 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 13% (won 2% of 43) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% | 5% (won 94% of 49) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 13% (won 33% of 45) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 0% | 42% (won 99% of 382) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 69% of 67) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 100% (won 86% of 7) | 49% (won 99% of 446) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 55% (won 89% of 187) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 5% (won 100% of 42) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NiceDuckBro | BreakTheBank | 00gringo00 | primm |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $73 | No $25K | — | — |