← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| NotJump | BreakTheBank | pleaseplease123 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 34% (3243–6180, n=9423) | 45% (542–652, n=1194) | 49% (346–353, n=699) | 47% (13871–15347, n=29218) |
| Consensus PnL | -$39K | $11.0M | -$857K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #963 | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #92 | PM monthly #24 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 75% (9 of 12 open) | 91% (150 of 165 open) | no open consensus position | 56% (27 of 48 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | MLB −31 pts, n=51 | — | MLB −1 pts, n=694 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 34% of 4267 at avg 45¢, ROI −9% | 97% of 552 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 49% of 694 at avg 51¢, ROI −1% | 94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 38% (won 4% of 1603) | 10% (won 82% of 56) | 0% (won 0% of 2) | 10% (won 57% of 2537) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 19% (won 20% of 790) | 36% (won 98% of 198) | 38% (won 43% of 266) | 22% (won 94% of 5518) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 20% (won 43% of 856) | 35% (won 99% of 191) | 61% (won 54% of 426) | 36% (won 99% of 8928) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 86% of 1018) | 19% (won 100% of 107) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 7821) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | NotJump | BreakTheBank | pleaseplease123 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $134 | — | — | No $7.7K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Sebastian Baez opposite sides · consensus Daniel Merida Aguilar | Daniel Merida Aguilar $6.5K | — | — | Sebastian Baez $77 |
| Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $458 | — | — | No $92 |
| Villa Maria: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ryo Tabata same side · consensus Ryo Tabata | Ryo Tabata $968 | — | — | Ryo Tabata $4.4K |