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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Novelty8 | CORGII | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 82% (598–127, n=725) | 62% (393–245, n=638) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | -$133K | $4.5M | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #680 | PM monthly #68 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 25% (1 of 4 open) | 73% (73 of 100 open) |
| Strongest topics | |||
| Weakest topic | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 436 at avg 89¢, ROI +4% | 98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 100% of 4) | 9% (won 92% of 36) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 9% (won 97% of 38) | 56% (won 99% of 223) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 10% (won 100% of 42) | 33% (won 100% of 133) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 81% (won 100% of 352) | 2% (won 100% of 7) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Novelty8 | CORGII | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics vs. Magic opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1 | — | Magic $24K |