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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
OddstormRN1CORGII0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Record (consensus markets)49% (5754–5977, n=11731)47% (13871–15347, n=29218)61% (395–248, n=643)61% (495–321, n=816)
Consensus PnL$18K$14.8M$194K-$352K
Tracked asPM monthly #921PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #68was PM monthly #51
Sides with the consensus54% (7 of 13 open)57% (28 of 49 open)no open consensus position69% (9 of 13 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topicMLB −3 pts, n=743——Soccer ±0 pts, n=115
Settled positions, side won49% of 7560 at avg 49¢, ROI +1%94% of 24804 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 399 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%60% of 822 at avg 48¢, ROI +5%
Entries under 30¢18% (won 19% of 1334)10% (won 57% of 2537)9% (won 92% of 36)15% (won 29% of 125)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 43% of 2720)22% (won 94% of 5518)56% (won 99% of 223)34% (won 58% of 283)
Entries 50–70¢31% (won 57% of 2376)36% (won 99% of 8928)33% (won 100% of 133)43% (won 69% of 354)
Entries 70¢ and up15% (won 81% of 1130)32% (won 100% of 7821)2% (won 100% of 7)7% (won 80% of 60)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketOddstormRN1CORGII0xBc43c8bfBC4d77c2FC9011adaD38Ba43b88996d3-1765231687816
Wizards vs. Magic
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Wizards $450——Magic $19K