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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:RN1beachboy4CORGIIsainttroplay00gringo000x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241
| OrwellFactory | BreakTheBank | |
|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 59% (329–231, n=560) | 45% (526–640, n=1166) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.4K | $10.6M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #991 | PM monthly #1 |
| Sides with the consensus | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 72% (78 of 108 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 60% of 559 at avg 58¢, ROI +2% | 98% of 539 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 20% of 66) | 10% (won 85% of 53) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 38% of 128) | 36% (won 98% of 192) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 32% (won 67% of 180) | 35% (won 99% of 187) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 33% (won 83% of 185) | 20% (won 100% of 107) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | OrwellFactory | BreakTheBank |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus Yes | No $249 | No $184K |