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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Parad0X00gringo00RN1primm
Record (consensus markets)55% (2227–1830, n=4057)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12823–13908, n=26731)50% (941–941, n=1882)
Consensus PnL-$17K$3.5M$13.4M$3.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #953was PM monthly #19PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #181
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position77% (10 of 13 open)0% (0 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • Crypto +39 pts n=1071, ROI +39%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicGeopolitics −14 pts, n=12———
Settled positions, side won97% of 1085 at avg 59¢, ROI +38%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%99% of 883 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 13% of 15)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)5% (won 93% of 43)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 81% of 16)0%22% (won 94% of 5497)41% (won 99% of 366)
Entries 50–70¢94% (won 99% of 1022)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8897)49% (won 99% of 433)
Entries 70¢ and up3% (won 97% of 32)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)5% (won 100% of 41)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketParad0X00gringo00RN1primm
Spread: Buccaneers (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Falcons
——Falcons $2.7KBuccaneers $3.0K