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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Paul973973sainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)91% (1057–102, n=1159)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12778–13831, n=26609)
Consensus PnL$13K$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #773was PM monthly #11PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensus86% (18 of 21 open)no open consensus position61% (91 of 148 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won99% of 1066 at avg 94¢, ROI +3%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 24664 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 43% of 7)0%10% (won 56% of 2534)
Entries 30–50¢1% (won 57% of 7)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5497)
Entries 50–70¢0% (won 100% of 5)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8897)
Entries 70¢ and up98% (won 100% of 1047)0%31% (won 100% of 7736)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketPaul973973sainttroplayRN1
Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Hamburger SV end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $192—No $70
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $4.5K—Yes $7.4K